The Daily Late Nightly Show (The Temple of Nephi)

The New Guy

On The Road

Trevor’s last guest this week is Ben Stiller, on to promote Zoolander 2 (no I’m not going to link it, it was a waste of time to type it).

Mr. Continuity

#1000BlackGirlBooks

Web Exclusive- Triumph on Broadway

Larry’s last panelist this week is Alexis Ohanian.

Mr. Mainstream

Feel the Bern

Bernie Sandwiches

Bernie != Trump

Stephen’s last guests this week are-

Katie Holmes (Scientologist, married to Tom Cruise) will presumably be on to talk about her role as Jackie Kennedy in The Kennedys: After Camelot, a 4 part mini-series.

Tomorrow will be a repeat.

Democratic Debate #6 Open Thread

I am not a number. I am a FREE MAN!

So tonight’s offering is at 9 pm ET on PBS and will be held at University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee
Milwaukee, WI.

What Hillary needs to do is offer a vision of positive change. So far she has a bunch of pre-compromised position papers promising more of the same and in case you haven’t noticed, people aren’t happy with the status quo. What she will probably do instead is attack Bernie in an attempt to increase his negatives.

What Bernie needs to do is convince people he’s electable (he out polls every Republican, by bigger margins than Hillary). What he will probably do instead is try to tell his personal story (not necessarily a bad thing, and it’s compelling despite what John Lewis says) and pander to Blacks and Hispanics (probably bad as it will seem inauthentic and trust and honesty are his strong suits).

I think it’s more likely Hillary will make a mistake than Bernie (attacking him will simply make her seem petty and defensive), she’s the one with expectations and Bernie will be Bernie, the same one he’s been for 50 years.

I dunno, I may or may not watch. I have serious napping to catch up on.

About those Super Delegates

Well, it’s true that they have 2 Super Powers.

First, they are not elected. They are Democratic elected officials and Officers of the Democratic Party. Yes, that’s almost as undemocratic as you can get unless, of course, they inherited that power.

Second, they are unbound. They can vote for any candidate they want, even if it’s against the results of their State Primary results. But that has consequences, I imagine someone who stubbornly supported Bernie in a solid Hillary District might at least expect some very embarrassing questions about it when they faced the voters in November.

And it’s a double edged sword in another way too. They are unbound. Whatever commitment they have made to a particular candidate, they can change their mind right on the Convention floor. What can the spurned candidate do? Piss up a rope and throw a tantrum that makes them look like a baby.

Boo Who?

Media outlets that pretend any different, that the Super Delegates can and should be counted in with the Regular Bound Delegate count, are simply displaying their bias (as if we didn’t know).

The Bernie super delegate panic is based on lazy reporting — here is what’s really going on in the DNC
Joshua Holland, Raw Story
11 Feb 2016 at 15:07 ET

As the Democrats head to Nevada, Bernie Sanders has 36 delegates, Hillary Clinton has 32, but you might not know that if you’ve been exposed to some lazy or sensational journalism suggesting that Clinton is in the lead.

Following the New Hampshire primary, a number of outlets reported that Clinton, rather than Sanders, was ahead in the delegate race because she had secured the backing of a number of Democratic super delegates – officeholders, party activists and officials who are not bound to vote for a candidate at the party’s convention in Philadelphia.

(P)eople only become super delegates because they have a longstanding affinity for, and loyalty toward the Democratic Party. Some may be total hacks, but they’re party hacks, and that makes them unlikely candidates to completely rip apart the Democratic coalition for a generation or two, which would be the only possible result of these unelected delegates overturning the will of primary voters. They share a common sense of duty to the best interests of the institution.

It is no doubt true that many of them feel a sense of loyalty to the Clintons. But it doesn’t follow that they’d effectively become political suicide bombers because of that loyalty. They want to beat the Republican nominee in November, and those who hold elected office also want to be re-elected. The worst way to accomplish either goal would be to create a massive scandal within the Democratic Party just months before the election. The super delegates aren’t going to destroy the party from within just because they prefer one candidate over the other.

It’s also true that many of the super delegates who endorsed Clinton did so because they believe that she’s the better candidate for the general election. But that view isn’t set in stone. If the unlikely scenario in which Sanders comes into the convention with more bound delegates but not enough to secure the nomination came to pass, something significant will have happened to shift the nature of the race between now and then. And whatever that something might be, the fact that Sanders was ahead would mean that many of those super delegates would no longer be confident that Hillary is the superior candidate. They’re not crazy. They’re party activists.

(U)ltimately, it’s the widespread expectation that the choice of nominee will reflect the will of the voters that makes a super delegate coup so unlikely. They can back whomever they want according to the party’s rules, but it would be a huge violation of the prevailing norms. And that’s why it’s the last thing voters should be worrying about.

Odds or Onions Challenge IX

Can you pick The Onion without hovering your mouse over the links?

Not much of a challenge really, but if you just looked at the headlines you’d have an easy 50 / 50 shot at being wrong.

 

California Getting Closer To Having Lawmakers Wear Donors’ Logos

The initiative, called “California Is Not For Sale,” was created in part to curb the influence of money in politics, and has been compared to NASCAR drivers displaying company logos on their shirts. It is backed by California attorney and businessman John Cox, who committed $1 million to the effort. It will need 365,000 valid signatures in order to qualify for the ballot in November, and organizers are confident they can muster enough support.

“The idea was conceived during a protest that was being staged for a separate ballot initiative in which we had all of the cutouts of California politicians covered in logos,” Ryan Smith, a coordinator for the initiative, told The Huffington Post on Tuesday. “Everyone who saw it said, ‘You have to actually do this.'”

In 2013, a White House petition proposed requiring members of Congress to wear NASCAR-style clothing showcasing their donors’ logos. The issue of big donors has also resurfaced in the national spotlight following the rise of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and real estate mogul Donald Trump, who both notched victories in the New Hampshire primaries Tuesday. Sanders, a Democratic presidential candidate, has based his campaign on money in politics, and Republican candidate Trump has primarily financed his own run.

For Cox, the initiative is a good way to address the specter of quid pro quo governance.

 

Wealthy Donors Pump Millions Into Sanders’ Campaign In Last-Ditch Effort To Destroy His Credibility

NEW YORK—Grasping for any way to halt the Democratic candidate’s momentum, a coalition of wealthy donors reportedly pumped millions of dollars into Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign this week in a last-ditch effort to destroy his credibility.

“Unfortunately, our attempts to attack his message and brand him as a radical have had little effect on his poll numbers, so the only option left on the table was a massive, coordinated barrage of maximum-level contributions directly to his campaign,” said hedge fund manager Robert Mercer, who, along with hundreds of other high-net-worth investors and major financial corporations, has funded a new super PAC known as Corporate America For Bernie, which has already debuted a series of laudatory, pro-Sanders television and radio ads aimed at undermining the candidate. “Our strategy is to hit Bernie with a few million in direct support in New Hampshire, and then unleash an all-out flood of money into his pocket in the run-up to Super Tuesday. We have the resources to keep funding him for as long as it takes to get him out of the race. I can assure you that we will not hesitate to give upwards of $5 million or even $10 million apiece to Bernie’s campaign if that’s what it takes to stop Bernie’s campaign.”

At press time, the newly cash-flush Sanders campaign was launching a series of attack ads targeting its own excessive wealth and influence.

Cartnoon

The Breakfast Club (Stayin’ Alive)

Welcome to The Breakfast Club! We’re a disorganized group of rebel lefties who hang out and chat if and when we’re not too hungover we’ve been bailed out we’re not too exhausted from last night’s (CENSORED) the caffeine kicks in. Join us every weekday morning at 9am (ET) and weekend morning at 10:30am (ET) to talk about current news and our boring lives and to make fun of LaEscapee! If we are ever running late, it’s PhilJD’s fault.

 photo 807561379_e6771a7c8e_zps7668d00e.jpg

This Day in History

South Africa frees Nelson Mandela; Allied leaders in the last months of World War II sign the Yalta accords; Ayatollah Khomeini’s followers seize power in Iran; inventor Thomas Edison born.

Breakfast Tunes

Something to Think about over Coffee Prozac

I have not failed. I’ve just found 10,000 ways that won’t work.

Thomas A. Edison

Read the rest of this entry »

The Daily Late Nightly Show (Feel the Bern)

The New Guy

The Suffers

Web Exclusive

Weak on Torture

Trevor’s guests this week are-

Mr. Continuity

See You In Hell

Cosby

Larry’s panelists this week are-

Mr. Mainstream

I just want Breakfast

Stephen’s guests this week are-

Bernie! Bernie! Bernie!

Friday will be a repeat.

I’ll Believe It When I See It

The agreement in question was one of those “Let’s negotiate with the law breakers to do away with any chance of justice, change in behavior, and prosecution of the criminals” that are so familiar in the Department of Just Us dealing with Banksters and other members of the protected Neoliberal elite classes.

I didn’t draw your attention to it because it was just too depressingly typical.

I can’t believe the City of Ferguson was stupid enough to screw it up.

Justice Dept sues the City of Ferguson to force policing reform
By Mark Berman, Sari Horwitz and Wesley Lowery, Washington Post
February 10 at 1:21 PM

The federal government filed a 56-page civil lawsuit Wednesday against the City of Ferguson, Mo. alleging that, 18 months after the police shooting of Michael Brown, the city’s police and court system continue to violate black residents’ civil rights.

The suit — a contentious next-step in what has been a months-long negotiation process over potential reforms between federal and city officials — says these “ongoing and pervasive” violations come from the city’s use of law enforcement to generate revenue, echoing the findings of the Justice Department’s investigation into the city in 2014.

The lawsuit comes one day after city officials requested several changes to a tentative agreement reached by city and federal negotiators following the Justice Department’s investigation into the city’s police and court practices — which concluded that the city engaged in practices that were racially discriminatory and violated residents’ civil rights.

“Our investigation found that Ferguson’s policing and municipal court practices violate the Constitution, erode trust and undermine public safety,” said Vanita Gupta, the DOJ’s principal deputy assistant attorney general.

Ferguson’s city council members voted unanimously on Tuesday night to accept the Justice Department’s proposed reforms only if federal officials agreed to seven changes, which included: changing the deadlines in the agreement, not mandating any salary increases for police officers and altering certain fees.

The Justice Department quickly disparaged the city council’s actions as an unfair development after extensive negotiations. Gupta, who heads the department’s Civil Rights Division, vowed that the federal government “will take the necessary legal actions” to reform the city’s courts and policing practices.

Under powers granted to the federal government by legislation passed after the police beating of Rodney King in Los Angeles, the Justice Department can force police agencies to undergo reforms if it concludes a department’s current policies permit civil rights violations, and can sue a municipality to force such changes if city officials do not cooperate.

“The Ferguson City Council has attempted to unilaterally amend the negotiated agreement,” Gupta said in a statement early Wednesday. “Their vote to do so creates an unnecessary delay in the essential work to bring constitutional policing to the city, and marks an unfortunate outcome for concerned community members and Ferguson police officers.”

The NAACP had called on the city to approve the deal, arguing that worries about funding have long been cited as arguments against civil rights changes.

“We reject this argument out of hand as an affront to democracy,” Sherrilyn Ifill, president of the NAACP’s Legal Defense and Educational Fund, said in a statement. She added: “The Ferguson City Council must approve the proposed consent decree and work diligently and immediately to acquire the necessary funds to protect the lives and civil rights of all its residents, regardless of race.”

Two More Have Left the Clown Car

Two more candidates of the unholy circus of Republican contenders for the 2016 presidential nomination have left the tent.

After placing a dismal sixth and getting zero delegates, New Jersey Governor Chris “Big Chicken” Christie went home last night to lick his wounds instead of heading to South Carolina. This afternoon it became official. The “Big Chicken” has officially bowed out of the race.

Gov. Chris Christie suspended his campaign for president Wednesday, ending his quest to become the first New Jerseyan to win the White House since Woodrow Wilson a century ago.

The governor had a meeting with staff in Morristown where he thanked them for their support and suspended campaign.

Christie arrived at the Morristown headquarters shortly after 4 p.m. to inform staffers and volunteers of his decision, Christie campaign spokeswoman, Nicole Sizemore, confirmed.

He just couldn’t compete with the bigger bully, The Donald. Too bad he didn’t take Sen. Marco “The Robot” Rubio with him. Now who will Maine Gov. Paul “The Over-sized Bowling Jacket” LePage support?

Also, the only woman in the GOP race, disgraced former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has folded up he magic carpet and gone back into the obscure hole she crawled out of to insult the majority of women everywhere. She won’t be missed.

The next to go should be Dr. Ben “The Stabber” Carson and former Virginia Gov. Jim “Who?” Gilmore. Robotman Rubio may not be far behind them.

New Hampshire Results and Exit Poll

Results

92% of Precincts Reporting.

Republicans

Candidate Raw Vote % Delegates
Donald Trump 94,893 35.2 10
John Kasich 42,733 15.8 3
Ted Cruz 31,436 11.7 2
Jeb Bush 29,866 11.1 2
Marco Rubio 28,382 10.5
Chris Christie 20,169 7.5
Carly Fiorina 11,260 4.2
Ben Carson 6,149 2.3
Jim Gilmore 129 0.0
Other 4,793 1.8

Democrats

Candidate Raw Vote % Delegates
Bernie Sanders 142,146 60.0 13
Hillary Clinton 90,734 38.3 9
Other 3,998 1.7

A couple items of interest- Bernie Sanders got way more votes than Trump and Hillary Clinton got almost as many. Before the Primary projections of Bernie’s margin were centered around 13 to 14 points (CNN, Real Clear Politics) and even I was somewhat conservative with my estimate of 10 to 15. His final margin is 21.7 points.

Exit Poll

Democratic only of course, who cares about Republicans? Besides these tables are hard work and the Republican one is twice as big.

Before you draw any particular conclusion from an individual result, you must first consider the percentage of all responses that result represents- 90% of a 10% universe is not very significant. Next you should consider the magnitude of Sanders’ overall victory, results that are higher or lower than the average will help identify strengths and weaknesses. Still you have to remember that even in areas lower than average, outperforming expectations contributed to the final margin.

For instance- Sanders heavily defeated Clinton among Men, but they represented only 45% of the electorate. He did not exceed his average result among Women, who represent 55% of voters, but he still got an outright victory and beat expectations.

That’s a simple case. You have to treat the more complex ones the same way.

From The New York Times.

Q/Group % All Voters Bernie Hillary
Sex
Male 45% 66 32
Female 55% 55 44
Age
18-29 19% 83 16
30-44 22% 66 32
45-64 42% 53 45
65 and over 17% 44 55
Urban, suburban, rural
City over 50,000 12% 57 40
Suburbs 48% 58 40
Small city and rural 40% 63 36
Who do you think is honest and trustworthy?
Only Clinton 6%
Only Sanders 50% 95 3
Both of them 39% 26 73
Neither of them 3%
Who shares your values?
Only Clinton 11%
Only Sanders 33% 97 2
Both of them 51% 48 52
Neither of them 4%
Which was more important in your vote for president today?
Positions on the issues 72% 66 32
Leadership or personal qualities 25% 44 54
College degree
College graduate 60% 56 43
No college degree 40% 67 31
Income
Under $30,000 14% 71 25
$30,000 – $49,999 17% 60 38
$50,000 – $99,999 33% 64 35
$100,000 – $199,999 28% 55 44
$200,000 or more 8% 46 53
Political philosophy
Very liberal 26% 66 33
Somewhat liberal 42% 57 42
Moderate 27% 58 39
Conservative 4%
Replacing current health care system with single taxpayer-funded plan for all Americans
Support 63% 70 29
Oppose 32% 39 58
How worried are you about a major terrorist attack in the U.S.?
Very/somewhat 69% 56 43
Not too/not at all 31% 71 29
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy?
Very/somewhat 80% 65 34
Not too/not at all 20% 43 57
Registered as independent/undeclared
Yes 41% 72 27
Financial situation
Getting ahead financially 16% 53 47
Holding steady financially 67% 59 39
Falling behind financially 17% 69 28
What do you expect for life of the next generation of Americans?
Better than life today 25% 61 37
Worse than life today 38% 70 29
About the same 35% 48 50
Issue that matters most
Health care 23% 54 45
Economy/jobs 33% 59 38
Terrorism 10% 49 47
Income inequality 32% 70 29
Income tax rates
Increase for all 10%
Increase only on income over $250,000 78% 59 40
Not increase for anyone 11%
Gun household
Yes 30% 69 28
No 70% 57 43
Decided whom to support
Just today 14% 44 48
In the last few days 12%
Sometime last week 6%
In the last month 16% 70 29
Before that 52% 61 38
Candidate quality that matters most
Can win in November 12% 19 79
Cares about people like me 26% 82 17
Honest and trustworthy 34% 91 5
Has the right experience 26% 15 85

The New Hampshire exit poll was based on questionnaires completed by primary voters on Tuesday as they left election locations throughout the state.

The poll was conducted by Edison Research of Somerville, N.J. for the National Election Pool which consists of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, and NBC News.

The results are based on 2,215 Democratic primary voters at 45 randomly selected polling places, interviewed as they were exiting each site.

In theory, in 19 cases out of 20, the results from such polls should differ by no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points from what would have been obtained by seeking to interview all voters who participated in each party’s primary in New Hampshire. Results based on smaller sub-groups, such as specific demographic groups or backers of a particular candidate, have a larger potential sampling error. Groups that are too small to be sampled accurately are represented with a dash.

In addition to sampling error, the practical difficulties of conducting any survey of voter opinion on election day, such as reluctance of some voters to take time to complete the questionnaire, may introduce other sources of error into the poll.

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