Continuing through the alphabet
North Carolina has 13 representatives: 7 Republicans and 6 Democrats
The filing deadline was Feb 29, primary is May 6
North Dakota has 1 representative: A Democrat
Filing deadline is April 11, primary is June 10
District: NC-01
Location Northeast NC, bordering VA and Pimlico Sound
Representative George Butterfield (D)
First elected 2004
2006 margin unopposed
2004 margin 64-36
Bush margin 2004 42-57
Notes on opponents No money
Current opponents None
Demographics 39th most rural (52.3$), 15th lowest income (median = $28K), 74th fewest Whites (44.4%), 24th most Blacks (50.5%)
Assessment Unopposed
District: NC-02
Location Central NC, including Raleigh
Representative Bob Etheridge (D)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 62-38
Bush margin 2004 54-46
Notes on opponents In 2004, Billy Creech raised $130K to Etheridge’s $1 million. In 2006, Dan Mansell raised little
Current opponents None
Demographics 43rd most rural (50.5%)
Assessment Unopposed
District: NC-03
Location Most of the Atlantic coast of NC
Representative Walter Jones (R)
First elected 1994
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin 71-29
Bush margin 2004 68-32
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Marshall Adame
Demographics 42nd most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: NC-04
Location The ‘research triangle’ including Chapel Hill, Durham, and Cary
Representative David Price (D)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 65-35
2004 margin 64-36
Bush margin 2004 44-55
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Augustus Cho
Demographics 67th highest income (median = $54K)
Assessment Safe
District: NC-05
Location Northwest NC, bordering TN and VA
Representative Virginia Foxx (R)
First elected 2004
2006 margin 57-43
2004 margin 59-41
Bush margin 2004 66-33
Notes on opponents In 2004, Jim Harrell raised $400K to Foxx’s $1.2 million. In 2006, Roger Sharpe raised $100K
Current opponents Roy Carter
Demographics 22nd most rural (57.1%), 42nd most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: NC-06
Location Central NC
Representative Howard Coble (R)
First elected 1984
2006 margin 71-29
2004 margin 73-27
Bush margin 2004 69-30
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Teresa Sue Bratton
Jay Ovittore and
Johnny Carter
Demographics 56th most rural (48.4%), 25th most Republican
Assessment This is a solidly Republican seat, but Coble is getting old (born 1931) and hasn’t had a serious fight in a while…
District: NC-07
Location Southern NC, bordering SC and the Atlantic
Representative Mike McIntyre (D)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 73-27
2004 margin 73-27
Bush margin 2004 56-44
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Will Breazeale
Demographics 30th most rural (54.9%), 70th most Blacks (23.1%)
Assessment Safe
District: NC-08
Location Central part of southern NC, bordering SC,
Representative Robin Hayes (R)
First elected 1998
2006 margin 329 votes out of 121,000
2004 margin 56-44
Bush margin 2004 54-45
Notes on opponents In 2006, Larry Kissell raised $800K to Hayes’ $2.5 million; in 2004, Beth Troutman raised $200K to Hayes’ $1.6 million
Current opponents Larry Kissell
Demographics 58th most Blacks (26.6%)
Assessment Vulnerable. Superribbie ranks this the 20th most vulnerable Republican seat, and it is on the DCCC list
District: NC-09
Location A strange shaped district in southern NC, bordering SC
Representative Susan Myrick (R)
First elected 1994
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 70-30
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Ross Overby
Harry Taylor , possibly Bill Glass
Demographics 73rd highest income (median = $55K) (3rd highest in the deep south, after GA-06 and GA-07)
Assessment Long shot
District: NC-10
Location Western NC, but east of NC-11, running from TN to SC
Representative Patrick McHenry (R)
First elected 2004
2006 margin 62-38
2004 margin 64-36
Bush margin 2004 67-33
Notes on opponents Neither raised money
Current opponents Steve Ivester
Demographics 46th most rural (50.1%), 42nd most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: NC-11
Location Westernmost NC, bordering TN, GA, and SC
Representative Heath Shuler (D)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 54-46
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Notes on opponents In 2006, Shuler ousted Charles Taylor, raising $ 1.8 million to Taylor’s $4.4 million
Current opponents John Armor, Carl Mumpower
Demographics 25th most rural (56.1%), 90th lowest income (median = $35K)
Assessment Vulnerable. Superribbie ranks it 14th most vulnerable Democratic seat.
District: NC-12
Location A really weird, snaky district, SC’s “Black” district. Includes Charlotte and Winston Salem. It was the subject of 4 Supreme Court cases. Still, it borders the NC5,6,8,9, and 10th
Representative Mel Watt (D)
First elected 1992
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 67-33
Bush margin 2004 37-63
Notes on opponents Ada Fisher ran in 2004 and 2006, in 2004 he raised $100K, in 2006, $400K. Watt raised about $500K each time
Current opponents Ada Fisher again
Demographics 28th most Blacks (44.6%)
Assessment Long shot
District: NC-13
Location Central part of northern NC, bordering VA
Representative Brad Miller (D)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 64-36
2004 margin 59-41
Bush margin 2004 47-52
Notes on opponents In 2006, Vernon Robinson raised $2.2 million to Miller’s $1.8 million. In 2004, Virginia Johnson raised $350K to Johnson’s $1.2 million
Current opponents None declared
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment safe
District: ND-AL
Location The whole state
Representative Earl Pomeroy (D)
First elected 1992
2006 margin 66-34
2004 margin 60-40
Bush margin 2004 63-34
Notes on opponents In 2004, Duane Sand raised $1 million to Pomeroy’s $1.8 million; the 2006 opponent raised little
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 73rd most rural (44.2%), 18th fewest Blacks (0.6%), 33rd fewest Latinos (1.2%)
Assessment Safe
2 comments
Unless Van Hollen changed his and the committee’s mind, thus I don’t think it is quite as vulnerable.
I’ll take a chance on the Republican behind door number three over that lying, sanctimonious hack.