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Oct 31 2008
Four at Four
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The Wall Street Journal reports Wall Street firms are considering limits on compensation after public outcry.
In a sign that Wall Street is waking up to the political tempest over billions of dollars in year-end bonuses likely to be paid out at securities firms lining up for government infusions, top executives are in discussions to possibly cap their own compensation, according to people familiar with the situation.
While the discussions remain fluid and many details still must be agreed to, the talks underscore an emerging consensus among some of the securities industry’s most powerful executives that the escalating pay controversy is creating yet another public-relations mess for Wall Street…
And as Wall Street firms examine their pay and bonuses, distinctions are being made between the highest-ranking executives and lower-level traders and investment bankers who aren’t widely known beyond Wall Street but could get plucked away by rival firms if compensation practices are significantly altered.
As a result, the most likely scenario in the firm-by-firm discussions is a sharp decline in compensation for chief executive officers, but fewer changes in how bonuses are paid to most employees, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Four at Four continues with an Iraq update, evidence of climate change on every continent, and an update on the North American bat die-off.
Oct 30 2008
Four at Four
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Just in time for Halloween, McClatchy Newspapers report John McCain could still win. To do so, everything would have to break his way. “He’d have to squeeze out more support from independents… and hope that enough undecided voters swing his way to help him sweep almost all the states that now are considered tossups.”
For McCain to win, he must hold all the states that went for President Bush four years ago, which would be enough to give him 286 Electoral College votes and victory. He could even lose one midsized Bush state, such as Virginia, which has 13 electoral votes, and still have more than the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.
The NY Times notes Al Gore is to Campaign in Florida for Obama. He will be joined by Tipper in Palm Beach and Broward counties.
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The NY Times also reports Days before the election come stark signs of a slowdown. The U.S. economy “contracted in the third quarter as consumer spending dipped for the first time in 17 years.” The GDP is “shrinking at a 0.3 percent annual rate… The impacts of a now-global financial crisis are continuing to squeeze companies and impede investment, prompting more layoffs and another wave of austerity.”
Meanwhile, the Washington Post adds Exxon Mobil profits set a record in the third quarter. The oil giant “smashed its own record for quarterly profits today, ringing up $14.8 billion in net income”. Their “earnings, at $2.86 a share, are up 58 percent from the same period in 2007”.
While over in the UK, the Chancellor demands cheaper petrol as Shell posts record profits, according to The Guardian. “Alistair Darling today called on oil companies to pass on lower costs to consumers by cutting petrol prices as Royal Dutch Shell posted a 71% rise in profits.” Shell reported a profit of $10.9 billion, up $6.4 billion from last year.
Four at Four continues with ominous signs of inflation, increasing sophistication of Taliban attacks in Afghanistan, and a bonus NASA update.
Oct 29 2008
Four at Four
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The LA Times reports
DefenseWar Secretary Robert Gates calls for modernization of U.S. nuclear weapons. “Unless the United States modernizes its inventory of nuclear weapons and develops a replacement warhead, the atomic arsenal’s long-term safety and reliability will deteriorate,” according to Gates.“No one has designed a new nuclear weapon in the United States since the 1980s, and no one has built a new one since the early 1990s,” he said…
“To be blunt,” Gates said, “there is absolutely no way we can maintain a credible deterrent and reduce the number of weapons in our stockpile without resorting to testing our stockpile or pursuing a modernization program.” …
“Currently, the United States is the only declared nuclear power that is neither modernizing its nuclear arsenal nor has the capability to produce a new nuclear warhead,” Gates said…
“Let me be clear: The program we propose is not about new nuclear capabilities — suitcase bombs or bunker-busters or tactical nukes,” he said. “It is about safety, security and reliability.”
Gates also endorsed the ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.
Four at Four continues with Pakistan and Syria demanding apologies from the U.S., movement to negotiate with the Taliban, and Spanish dominance of U.S. wind energy.
Oct 28 2008
Four at Four
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A week to go before the general election. On Sunday, Barack Obama appeared before more than 100,000 people in Denver making it the largest U.S. crowd to ever attend one of his campaign rally. He has been maintaining he lead in the polls, while John McCain has been spinning the Despite the polls, the race will be tight. If McCain is right, it will be the first time this whole campaign.
Meanwhile, the Washington Post reported on Monday that as he makes his closing argument, Obama avoids partisan rhetoric and focuses on unity.
There’s no point, he says. “We’re all in this together,” the Illinois Democrat assures the crowds who flock to his events… “We don’t have the luxury of relying on the same political games and the same political tactics that are used every election to divide us . . . by who we are or what policies we support.”
In this final week of the campaign, the LA Times suggests to look for both candidates to Soften their blows. As part of his closing argument for why we should elect him president, Obama explains:
We have always been at our best when we’re called to look past our differences and to come together as one nation, leadership that rallied this country to a common purpose, to a higher purpose.”
Four at Four continues with two stories about the global food crisis and some stories about Barack Obama from people who have known him at various parts of his life.
Oct 27 2008
Four at Four
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McClatchy Newspapers report the U.S. threatens to halt services to Iraq without troop accord. Iraqi politicians see this as blackmail by the United States.
The U.S. military has warned Iraq that it will shut down military operations and other vital services throughout the country on Jan. 1 if the Iraqi government doesn’t agree to a new agreement on the status of U.S. forces or a renewed United Nations mandate for the American mission in Iraq…
In addition to halting all military actions, U.S. forces would cease activities that support Iraq’s economy, educational sector and other areas _ “everything” _ said Tariq al Hashimi, the country’s Sunni Muslim vice president. “I didn’t know the Americans are rendering such wide-scale services.”
Apparently this ‘threat’ has taken Iraqi leaders “by surprise”.
Four at Four continues with finding the right strategy for Afghanistan, the bailout’s mission creep, and Project Midas.
Oct 27 2008
James Howard Kunstler on ‘What now?’
In his October 20, 2008 essay, James Howard Kunstler gazes into his crystal ball and tries to answer the question: What now? Not surprisingly, he sees a devastating economic reboot.
So, that’s what I think we will get: an interval of deflationary depression followed by a destructive wave of inflation that will wipe out both constructed debt and constructed savings, scraping the financial landscape clean. There’s no question that stage one is underway. But we can be sure the giant wave of money recklessly loaned into existence in just a few weeks time will wash back through the global economy leaving a swath of destruction.
And then what? The societies of the world will be faced with the task of rebuilding systems of fruitful activity, i.e., real economies based on productive behavior rather than the smoke-and-mirrors of Frankenstein-finance con games.
Kunstler thinks people will quickly soon catch on and become an “angry peasant mob” demanding some sort of justice be dealt to the economic Frankensteins who jump started the collapse.
Oct 24 2008
Four at Four
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The NY Times reports OPEC orders a cut in oil production. OPEC will reduce its oil production by at least 1.5 million barrels a day to stem what it called ‘a dramatic collapse’ in oil prices as the world economy slows down and oil demand shrinks.”
Fears of a global recession; however, meant the announcement did nothing to halt the price fall of oil futures which “fell 4.6 percent to $64.75 a barrel, their lowest since May 2007.” Oil was at $147 a barrel in July. “Many analysts expect global oil consumption to fall this year for the first time since 1983.”
Four at Four continues with the Detroit housing market collapse, Mexico’s oil reform, and erasing memories in mice.
Oct 23 2008
Four at Four
Today’s Four at Four focuses on terrorism and dealing with it.
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The CS Monitor examines The lasting impact of the 1983 Beirut attack twenty-five year ago today. The bombing killed 241 Americans, most of them marines, in the deadliest day for the Marines since Iwo Jima. “The bombing that left the Reagan administration’s Lebanon ambitions in tatters continues to reverberate today in shaping US diplomatic, political, and counterinsurgency policies toward Lebanon and the Middle East.”
The blast rippled across Beirut just after dawn, throwing Khodr Hammoud out of bed and stumbling to his front door.
Gazing across the packed houses of the Shiite-populated slums east of Beirut airport, the young Shiite resident saw a huge plume of smoke rising into the pale sky…
“When I heard that marines had been blown up, I couldn’t believe it,” says Mr. Hammoud. “We didn’t think of [the Marines] as an enemy then like we do now.“
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McClatchy Newspapers report Indonesia fights terrorism with power of persuasion. Indonesian government “authorities try to ‘de-radicalize’ militants, debating religion with them and re-connecting them with their families instead of relying on the high-tech weapons and harsh interrogation techniques that have characterized President Bush’s approach since 9/11.
“Because terrorism is an ideologically motivated crime, it is not possible to stop it using mere physical operations,” said Ansyaad Mbai, the head of the Indonesian government’s Counter-Terrorism Coordinating Desk. “Based on our experience, the harder we hit them with military force, the more radical they become.”
Mbai is critical of the Bush administration’s approach to fighting terrorism. The war in Iraq, in particular, has made the job of handling terrorism in Indonesia harder, he said: “Even the moderate Muslim leaders find it difficult to explain that the war taking place in the Middle East is not a war against Islam.”
Indonesia, the world’s most populous Muslim country, treats terrorism as a crime, not a cause for war.
Four at Four continues with a bombing in Iraq and a missile strike in Pakistan. Plus, there is a poll to vote in.
Oct 23 2008
Alan Greenspan’s ‘shocked disbelief’ today in Congress
In the big U.S. newspapers this afternoon are reports of former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s appearance before the U.S. House Oversight and Government Reform Committee today.
The Washington Post reports Greenspan described the financial crisis a “once-in-a-century credit tsunami” and the Los Angeles Times adds Greenspan warns unemployment will rise.
“This crisis … has turned out to be much broader than anything I could have imagined … Given the financial damage to date, I cannot see how we can avoid a significant rise in layoffs and unemployment.”
According to The New York Times, Greenspan said he “made a mistake” in believing free markets could regulate themselves without government oversight.
On a similar note, the LA Times adds Greenspan “admitted that the crisis showed flaws in his strong free-market ideology”, but I don’t interpret him saying that at all.
Oct 22 2008
Four at Four
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Despite the
rhetoricblatant lies and distortions from the McCain campaign and other Republicans, McClatchy Newspapers report, Obama’s tax plan is not socialism.Favoring higher tax rates for the wealthy than for the less fortunate isn’t socialism, and if it is, then the U.S. has been a socialist country for nearly a century, under both Democrats and Republicans.
“The answer is clearly no, Senator Obama is not a socialist,” said Paul Beck, a professor of political science at The Ohio State University. “We’ve had a progressive tax system for some time, and both Republicans and Democrats have bought into it.” …
Socialism involves state ownership of the means of economic production and state-directed sharing of the wealth. America’s democratic capitalist system is neither socialist nor pure free market; rather, it mixes the two, and it has at least since the progressive income tax was introduced 95 years ago. Under it, the wealthy pay higher income tax rates than those who are less fortunate do. It’s a form of sharing the wealth.
Government intervenes in U.S. “free markets” all the time. The deduction that homeowners get for mortgage interest is one form, for it subsidizes housing. The Pentagon procurement that sustains U.S. defense contractors such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics is another.
For that matter, President Bush and many other Republicans, including McCain, backed a massive federal government rescue of ailing financial institutions this fall, one that’s committed more than $1 trillion so far to “private” banks, even taking partial state ownership of the nine biggest…
Conservatives often charge that Democrats are engaging in “class warfare” when they want to raise tax rates on the rich – McCain and Palin have used the phrase to attack Obama – but they rarely find such fault when tax cuts disproportionately benefit the wealthy.
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The Seattle Times reports the U.S. is run by Wall Street “crooks,” Nader says in Seattle.
Every agency of the federal government is controlled by corporate power, independent presidential candidate Ralph Nader told reporters before a public speech at a packed Town Hall Seattle on Tuesday evening.
Nader said the U.S. is essentially a “plutocracy” (government by the wealthy), run by “speculators and crooks” on Wall Street. He offered as evidence the $700 billion financial-rescue package that Congress approved, which, he said, rewards “deceivers” for the “looting and swindling.” …
Tuesday night, Nader called for the prosecution of those on Wall Street responsible for the current financial crisis.
Four at Four continues with news from Afghanistan, Iraq, and concerning the 18 threats to beluga whales in Alaska.
Oct 21 2008
Four at Four
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The AP reports on a report finding the Gap between rich and poor has grown.
The gap between rich and poor is getting bigger in the world’s richest countries – and particularly the United States – as children and low-skilled workers slide deeper into poverty, according to a 30-nation report released Tuesday.
In a 20-year study of its 30 member countries, the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said children and young adults are 25 percent more likely to be poor than the population average – with an even larger gap for single-parent families…
The United States has the highest inequality and poverty in the OECD after Mexico and Turkey, and the gap has increased rapidly since 2000, the report said…
In the United States, the richest 10 percent earn an average of US$93,000 – the highest level in the OECD. The poorest 10 percent earn an average of US$5,800 – about 20 percent lower than the OECD average
But even with the growing gap, Reuters adds Society is not breaking down. “The gap between the rich and poor has grown in most wealthy nations, but not as quickly as many people believe and not enough to raise fears of social upheaval”. The report also claimed the growing gap was “not one that would justify … talk about the breakdown of society.” So, don’t look for a revolution any time soon.
The full OECD report, “Growing Unequal? Income Distribution and Poverty in OECD Countries,” is available for purchase. Some of the findings for the U.S. made in the report are:
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“The distribution of earnings widened by 20% since the mid-1980s which is more than in most other OECD countries. This is the main reason for widening inequality in America.”
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“Redistribution of income by government plays a relatively minor role in the United States… This is partly because the level of spending on social benefits such as unemployment benefits and family benefits is low – equivalent to just 9% of household incomes, while the OECD average is 22%.”
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“Wealth is distributed much more unequally than income: the top 1% control some 25-33% of total net worth and the top 10% hold 71%. For comparison, the top 10% have 28% of total income.”
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Four at Four continues with the U.S. suicide rate increasing at an alarming rate, the Fed to back money market mutual funds, and India’s moon shot.
Oct 21 2008
Alan Greenspan – Legacy of Mr. Bubbles
Peter Goodman of The New York Times examined the role of Alan Greenspan in the financial collapse in The Reckoning: Taking Hard New Look at a Greenspan Legacy.
The article has been sitting open in my web browser now for almost two weeks wondering when I was going to write about it. Since I’ve not see this article covered, I want to make sure it doesn’t go unnoticed. Unfortunately, I do not find Greenspan very inspiring, so the best I can do at this time is a Lazy Quote Diary™. It begins with a quote from Greenspan.
“Not only have individual financial institutions become less vulnerable to shocks from underlying risk factors, but also the financial system as a whole has become more resilient.” – Alan Greenspan in 2004