2019 Elections: Pennsylvania Trending Blue In The Suburbs

While all eyes and the media was focused on the gubernatorial race in Kentucky and Virginia state legislature, the Pennsylvania suburbs made a sharp left turn getting a lot bluer. From Kate Riga at Talking Points Memo

The erosion of Republican dominance in places like Delaware County was stark. There, Democrats swept the county council, spurred on by a historic gain of two seats in 2017. Per the Philadelphia Inquirer, this is the first time Democrats have won all the seats on the council since before the Civil War.

The county Republican wipeout didn’t end there: all four GOP candidates for Common Pleas Court judgeships went down, as did the incumbent Republican district attorney.

Over in Bucks County, Democrats seem to have eked out two of three county commissioner board seats, taking control for the first time in decades.

And in Philadelphia proper, Working Families Party candidate Kendra Brooks became the first person from outside either major party to win a city council seat in over a century. She won one of the two at-large seats, a ding to Republicans who have held those two spots for 70 years.

Local Democratic triumphs like these may dim in the face of the flashy gubernatorial upset in Kentucky, but these races are likely the most important result from Tuesday’s election.

As per the article in the Philadelphia Inquirer, voter turnout in Delaware County increased by an incredible 25% from 2017. Who says Democrats don’t come out in off year elections?

 

Tuesday night was a massive repudiation of decades of Republican control of these suburbs, and it was fueled by organization and mobilization of Democrats more motivated by their opposition to President Trump and his party than they ever have been before.

This trend was on clear display in the 2018 midterms, with a shellacking that won federal-level Democrats the House of Representatives for the first time since 2011. That win was largely attributed to distaste of Trump so permeating the suburban sprawl that liberals there got active, bucking the common knowledge that Democrats never show up in off-presidential election years.

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes, that was less than 1% of the the ballots cast.

Look out , Donnie, here we come.

Pondering the Pundits

Pondering the Pundits” is an Open Thread. It is a selection of editorials and opinions from> around the news medium and the internet blogs. The intent is to provide a forum for your reactions and opinions, not just to the opinions presented, but to what ever you find important.

Thanks to ek hornbeck, click on the link and you can access all the past “Pondering the Pundits”.

Follow us on Twitter @StarsHollowGzt

Dahlia Lithwick: This Impeachment Won’t Be a Legal or Political Battle. It Will Be an Information War.

Republicans are willing to ignore what’s happening because they think they’ll get away with it. They might not be wrong.

For some time now, legal commentators have been trying to remind us that impeachment is not entirely a legal process but rather a political process dressed up in legal garb. Yes, there are facts to be gathered, and yes, there are impeachable offenses to be probed and proved, but in the final analysis, impeachment is a largely political enterprise, conducted by the political branches, for political ends. Sure, there is plenty of legal jargon and legal-sounding terms, and the White House is sputtering about “due process” as if this were a robbery trial and decrying the entire impeachment process as “the fruit from the poisonous tree,” as if Rep. Adam Schiff had searched Donald Trump’s glove compartment without a warrant. But to the extent Republicans are trying to dismiss the entire probe as unlawful, they are doing so by distorting relevant legal questions into political theater. They know this. That’s why they’re doing it.

Confusing and conflating the legal facts of impeachment with the political facts of impeachment is only the first step in the GOP effort to distort the impeachment process. The follow-up strategy is slowly emerging, and it’s as nihilistic as it is terrifying: The White House and Trump’s Republican defenders seem to understand that this is, at its heart, a messaging war. This is politics in the form of who dominates the airwaves. As such, the thrust of the new impeachment defiance will be to simply deny that any of it is happening in the first place. This isn’t an elaborate attempt to push back or to reframe or to counter the impeachment investigation; it’s a media tactic designed solely to deny its very existence. Wednesday’s revelation that Bill Taylor knew he was dealing with a quid pro quo should be the last nail in the bribery/abuse-of-power coffin. But it won’t be, because none of those concepts even figure in the Republican defense strategy.

Charles M Blow: Stop Blaming Black Homophobia for Buttigieg’s Problems!

Let’s put an end to this racist trope.

Reducing Pete Buttigieg’s struggle to attract black support solely to black homophobia is not only erroneous, it is a disgusting, racist trope, secretly nursed and insidiously whispered by white liberals with contempt for the very black people they court and need.

I have never been blind to this — the people who see black religiosity as an indicator of primitive thinking and lack of enlightenment.

(For the record, I am bisexual and not a religious man.) [..]

The latest round of blaming black homophobia for Buttigieg’s lackluster black support came last month when McClatchy obtained the report from a focus group the Buttigieg campaign had conducted with black voters.

According to McClatchy, the report found that “being gay was a barrier for these voters, particularly for the men who seemed deeply uncomfortable even discussing it. … [T]heir preference is for his sexuality to not be front and center.”

The second thing is that focus groups aren’t scientific surveys. As Liza Featherstone, author of “Divining Desire: Focus Groups and the Culture of Consultation,” has put it, “Focus groups are not a scientific and quantitative method of gathering knowledge.”

But none of that mattered. This fed a narrative that liberals — including some older black politicians and pundits — have nursed. A raft of articles was published. Social media posts started to fly.

Harry Litman: Yes, outing the whistleblower is against the law — but the law is toothless

President Trump’s defenders are pushing hard for disclosure of the identity of the intelligence community whistleblower, whose complaint about Trump’s call with the new president of Ukraine initiated the impeachment crisis. Outing the whistleblower would clearly violate the statute governing the complaint. But unfortunately there’s not much anyone can do about it. [..]

The protections afforded by the intelligence whistleblower act amount to a bare legal prohibition, and the law provides no real remedy against an improper outing; even if it did, it likely wouldn’t apply to the president or, between the First Amendment and the Constitution’s speech or debate clause, to members of Congress. And pursuing a civil claim against anyone outside the government would also be a heavy lift, because the legal duty not to disclose only runs to government officials.

That doesn’t mean naming the whistleblower would be any less reprehensible. But, in the absence of a muscular remedial structure, it is ultimately only respect for the legal mandate and a shared sense of the larger principle here that protects the whistleblower at this point. How long can that line hold?

Karen Tumulty: Republicans can only blame themselves for losing in Virginia

Tuesday night saw the completion of Virginia’s transformation from red to blue, as Democrats took control of both houses of the General Assembly for the first time in a generation.

The shift began a decade ago at the top of the ballot. Virginia voted for Republican presidential candidates in every race between 1968 and 2008, but it has not voted for one since.

Some of the forces at work were demographic: an influx of immigrants, a tech boom that brought a surge of highly educated and affluent residents to the northern suburbs.

But the wounds the Republicans have suffered have also been self-inflicted, as their party in Virginia was taken over by hard-line forces on the right. [..]

Rarely have we seen a state make such a rapid and definitive political transformation. It may not be a bellwether for what lies ahead nationally, but Republicans would do well to consider it a reminder that when the tide is rising, it’s a good idea to quit swimming against it.

Amanda Marcotte: No free pass for Republicans: They don’t get to pretend this nightmare never happened

Trump’s enablers are corrupt and evil — they don’t get to have an “epiphany” and move on after he leaves office

With the impeachment inquiry leveling up this month as public hearings begin, and with an election that might actually be the end of Donald Trump now less than a year away, the campaign to let Trump’s Republican allies — even the most villainous offenders — move on and pretend this never happened is already underway.

Sadly, the clearest articulation of the let-bygones-be-bygones mentality has come from a Democrat — unsurprisingly, former Vice President Joe Biden.

Biden, who is still, somehow, the frontrunner in Democratic primary polling, spoke at a chi-chi fundraiser on Wednesday, and dropped this pearl of wisdom: “With Donald Trump out of the way, you’re going to see a number of my Republican colleagues have an epiphany.”

The people Biden is talking about, let us remember, are not only fully capable adults, but people who believe they are qualified and deserving national leaders. They’re not a bunch of adolescents who are just going through a temporary goth-libertarian phase or whatever. But there’s no doubt that many Republicans are taking stock of the current political situation, in which Trump is daily cementing his historical legacy as the most embarrassing president ever elected, and plotting how to escape any and all reputational accountability for their role in our current national nightmare.

 

A Good Night

Did I mention we had a Dem blowout in Stars Hollow? Being civilized we have minimum minority representation (ok, if you must know I’m philisophically against it because I consider it a barrier to Third Parties) and the Thugs are dead stop against the limit. TMC asked me what would have happened if I had run for School Board. I would have won, but I wouldn’t have been able to assume office (unless I beat another Democrat but I’d have given it up anyway as I don’t do politics for blood any more, merely for amusement).

Downstream it’s the Merch. It’s always the Merch.

Climbing Tips

At the Lincoln Memorial if you have a Handicapped sticker you can park quite close, like in the driveway. Now if you follow the main path you end up in front of a lot of daft stairs that are much more of a challenge than they look in photographs. If you follow the path that branches left you end up at the top of the second flight, just before the final ascent which is kind of genius but it’s better than that. At the base of the Monument between a couple of bushes is the door to an elevator that zips you right up to the top.

Yes I did it all from the reflecting pool to Lincoln’s lap no cheating, but I don’t have to do it again to prove anything.

Street level and waaay too bright

Cartnoon

Ah. good times, simpler times.

The Breakfast Club (Wild Beast)

Welcome to The Breakfast Club! We’re a disorganized group of rebel lefties who hang out and chat if and when we’re not too hungover we’ve been bailed out we’re not too exhausted from last night’s (CENSORED) the caffeine kicks in. Join us every weekday morning at 9am (ET) and weekend morning at 10:00am (ET) (or whenever we get around to it) to talk about current news and our boring lives and to make fun of LaEscapee! If we are ever running late, it’s PhilJD’s fault.

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This Day in History

Bolshevik Revolution takes place; America’s 2000 presidential vote faces limbo; Nixon loses Calif. governor’s race; Tacoma Narrows Bridge collapses; Evangelist Billy Graham and singer Joni Mitchell born.

Breakfast Tunes

Something to Think about over Coffee Prozac

A man without ethics is a wild beast loosed upon this world.

Albert Camus

Continue reading

Impeachment: Fast and Furious

In case you’re wondering why we haven’t posted much on the Impeachment of the dimwitted conman in the Oval Office, it’s because it’s just moving at the speed of light. In just the last week, since the House Democrats started releasing the witness transcripts that were held behind closed doors, there have been thousands of pages to wade through. The news organization have also found it a daunting task to keep up and they have staff! We don’t.

Even MSNBC host Rachel Maddow has thrown up her hands trying to keep up with the nearly impossible quantity of information flowing from Capitol Hill.

Rachel has also come up with a solution for us busy people to stay abreast of events.

If you have subscriptions the New York Times and the Washington Post both have live updates here and here.

Public hearing begin next Wednesday. I expect that the GOP clowns will be on their best game to disrupt as best they can.

Oak Island- 2019

Ok, so Oak Island is back. Dan Blankenship is dead to begin with. There is no doubt whatever about that. The register of his burial was signed by the clergyman, the clerk, the undertaker, and the chief mourner. Scrooge signed it: and Scrooge’s name was good upon ’Change, for anything he chose to put his hand to. Old Marley was as dead as a door-nail.

Mind! I don’t mean to say that I know, of my own knowledge, what there is particularly dead about a door-nail. I might have been inclined, myself, to regard a coffin-nail as the deadest piece of ironmongery in the trade. But the wisdom of our ancestors is in the simile; and my unhallowed hands shall not disturb it, or the Country’s done for. You will therefore permit me to repeat, emphatically, that Dan was as dead as a door-nail.

I, and I am somewhat reluctant to admit it, know what makes a door (or any) nail dead Mr. Dickens. Because you don’t want it easily removed (you still can by inserting a wedge at the join) with a claw, which is something you never do without ruining the finish anyway, you chop off the head flush with the work or slightly recessed if you are skillful and can manage it. Bang. Nail dead. You won’t be moving it much. In classical wood frame construction spikes and pegs are used almost as often as nails until mechanically produced fasteners changed the market. Pegs became incredibly time expensive, screws nearly as much but they hold like iron and require no skill at all (if you can call something about as difficult as using the clutch on a stick a skill) and suddenly change from unobtainable luxury to cheap as dirt which it all was and it’s hard to argue that the marginal cost of sticking on a head with a welder was minuscule compared to paying a big beefy sweaty guy to bang on it a couple of times with a hammer to mash it out so spikes declined and pointy bit/flat bit nails rose and if you wanted ’em dead you had to bury the bodies yourself, right mate?

See, the problem with Clio is that her great white back will rise from the deep (this was originally a Cartnoon) and 17 Chapters into your definitive monograph on 19th Century Whaling Techniques you realize you weren’t writing about that at all, it’s really a symbolist novel about obsession modeled on the dramas of antiquity like Oedipus.

That one is important for modern Psychiatry too. Do you want to kill your Father and sleep with your Mother? Of course you do, doesn’t everybody? Remember to have your Mom/Wife Jocasta kill the kids and put out the cat before she commits suicide because you’ll just trip over it after you gouge your eyes out.

C’mon. History is fun. Everybody dies.

The mention of Dan’s funeral brings me back to the point I started from. There is no doubt that Dan was dead. This must be distinctly understood or nothing wonderful can come.

You see, there’s a ship in the Swamp.

It’s a pretty big ship, 200 feet long, 45 to 25 wide (or tall, they’re not very specific) and it’s not very deep (55′) and there’s a paved road (buried under muck and swamp and “paved” in that pre asphalt kind of way, most of the pointy bits of rock are pointed down) going straight to it.

The road is a new reveal, the ship a result of washing the data from last season’s echo test. It was first reported days before Dan’s death and everyone is acting as if it was his tragic fate to pass unaware of the big breakthrough.

I don’t believe it for a moment. The preliminary data was pretty clear there was something happening even if you didn’t have a pretty false color blot on a computer sort of shaped like a boat lying on it’s side, Dan knew about that, he was there at the big season ending Wind-up meeting where they didn’t talk about it much on camera but why telegraph your best stuff?

And besides, isn’t that the way every hero would script the end? To fall leading your troops in inevitable victory against impossible odds just as the tide turns? Bonus points for lingering long enough to get carried to the nearby outlook so your fading eyes can see your enemies flags scrambling in rout while yours advance in triumph.

And then you die and they waste a cask of Brandy pickling you so they can have a big party celebrating the fact you can’t be there. Or shove a stick up your butt, strap you to a horse, and send you out into battle again, it won’t matter to you.

In another development more significant that it seems they found a purpose built rock engraving tool that is definitely pre-industrial and might be much older. While there is a lot of carved rock on the island there are other, better places to carve rock so the question is- why is it there at all?

At Smith Cove we have a fairly firm date of no later than 1771 (Searcher Era begins 1795) on the Slipway (tree rings), not a lot of detail on the walls but there are a lot of them, like 5 so far I think, and they are (at least some of them) packed with non-native blue clay for waterproofing. The concrete wall is apparently some random thing someone planted in 1936 and never told anyone about. They also have what they think is a finger drain and are looking to chase that down to a central junction. They’ve bumped out a section of the Cofferdam at the end of the Slipway because Dan thought he saw evidence of deeper workings and there is a surprising lack of the debris normally found at construction sites, as if the area had been policed to remove traces. That’s pretty paranoid if you ask me but it’s also fairly normal for craftsmen to pitch their trash out and away so it’s not cluttering things up, however they don’t care to work too hard to get rid of it so there could be a great heap of rubbish right at the edge.

The Money Pit itself is a mess- Fresh Kills has more organization (’57 Bel Aire? Pre ’60s to the left. Radioactive Waste? Behind the used Refrigerators. Jimmy Hoffa? Oh, he’s in our special “celebrities” section- right over here sir). Perhaps they have a plan, they have the huge hole digger back and it’s like Chekov’s gun, it will be used before the Third Act.

Overall it’s a puzzle. The physical evidence points to extensive engineering just before the Revolution. Texts (and some artifacts, lead cross mined no later than 1450) indicate much earlier activity and strong Templar/Masonic ties.

Personally I can’t conceive of any treasure that will cover the expense in a monetary sense but as a real time demonstration of exploratory Archeology/History it’s priceless.

Pondering the Pundits

Pondering the Pundits” is an Open Thread. It is a selection of editorials and opinions from> around the news medium and the internet blogs. The intent is to provide a forum for your reactions and opinions, not just to the opinions presented, but to what ever you find important.

Thanks to ek hornbeck, click on the link and you can access all the past “Pondering the Pundits”.

Follow us on Twitter @StarsHollowGzt

Howard Dean: By shirking its responsibility to filter out lies, Facebook is a threat to civic society

Private social media companies must regulate the content on their platforms – in part because the alternative, empowering the state to restrict speech, is so dangerous

Propaganda is often employed by those unable to maintain control without resorting to falsehoods and the demonization of their opponents. Certainly Brexit, the election of Donald Trump, and various recent rightwing populist movements across the world have relied, at least in part, on alarming and false characterizations of “The Other” to gain the emotional allegiance of voters.

Again and again, the far right has proven itself ready and able to disrupt democracy with weaponized misinformation and hate speech. Those who believe in democracy have seen our devotion to free speech turned against us.

Now Facebook’s CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, in refusing to ban false political advertising from his platform, is in effect defending the far right’s approach. Zuckerberg has appealed to the principle of free speech; he says he does not believe a platform should regulate political content.

That argument isn’t very persuasive. Facebook is a private platform, not

subject to first amendment protections. Every media platform – whether a TV station, newspaper or giant tech company, has a reasonable moral obligation to try to mitigate lies and propaganda.

Richard Wolffe: Gordon Sondland was a perfect fall guy, until he decided to tell the truth

Gordon Sondland was a perfect fall guy, until he decided to tell the truth

In every good disaster movie, we get to meet the easily dispensable character: someone who mixes just enough stupidity with just enough mediocrity to be cannon fodder for the impending calamity.

In the epic shipwreck of Donald Trump’s impeachment, that man is Gordon Sondland.

Sondland first entered this feature-length catastrophe as an ironic counterpoint to the doomed buffoon who has alternately dismayed and disgusted us for the last three years.

To Trump himself, Sondland was once a Never Trumper who first globbed on to the low-energy Jeb before shifting his undying loyalty to little Marco. When neither of those Republican gods were able to confer any honor upon his wealthy shoulders, Sondland did what any principled conservative would do: he wrote a $1m check to Trump and asked for an ambassadorship.

George Zimmer: America needs to seriously tax the rich – I should know, I’m one of them

As a member of the Patriotic Millionaires organization I’ve seen how our system perpetuates gross inequality but now I’m a proud ‘traitor to our class’

If Donald Trump really wants to make America great again, he’d do what our country did when it was at the height of its economic stability and equality: increase the top income tax rate to 90%.

Instead, what we have now is a tax system put into place for present-day robber barons – one that enables the interests of a small number of powerful industries to dominate national policy, for the benefit of only themselves and to the detriment of working people.

Under the current revenue system, companies such as Facebook and Exxon pay a lower rate on their 20 billionth dollar of profit (21%) than the top rate that dental assistants, sales workers, mechanics, telephone operators, painters and postal clerks pay on their average annual wage of $39,400 (22%).

Thanks to Trump and his 2017 tax bill, income inequality has now reached its highest level since the US Census Bureau first began to tabulate it 50 years ago.

As a successful entrepreneur and founder of Men’s Wearhouse, I’ve seen how tax breaks for corporations and the rich perpetuate income inequality.

Karen Tumulty: Independents are pulling away from Trump. What does that mean for Democrats?

The latest Post-ABC News poll has some seriously troubling news for President Trump: A year out from the 2020 election, he is hemorrhaging the support he once enjoyed from independents.

If it hadn’t been for voters who claim no party affiliation, Trump most likely would not be in the White House today. [..]

So which Democrat is best positioned to benefit from the disenchantment that many of these less partisan voters are feeling about the Trump presidency?

Three months ago, the answer was clear. Former vice president Joe Biden was the only Democratic contender who beat Trump — by a narrow seven percentage points — among independents in a theoretical head-to-head matchup in the Post poll.

But in the latest survey, five of the most talked-about Democratic candidates are besting Trump with independents. Biden has expanded his lead over the president to 17 points, while Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) do nearly as well, each leading the president by 16 points among independents. They favor Sen. Kamala D. Harris (Calif.) over Trump by 11 points, and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg by 10 points.

In other words, the poll suggests that independents are increasingly willing to vote for a Democrat, no matter which of the most likely possibilities the party nominates. It also erodes Biden’s chief selling point, which is that he is the most “electable” prospect in the field.

Cartnoon

Postulate 1-

        You can never have enough Muppets.

Postulate 2-

        Trent Reznor is a God (not the God, a God).

Conclusion (Full Lyrics)-

The Breakfast Club (Journalism)

Welcome to The Breakfast Club! We’re a disorganized group of rebel lefties who hang out and chat if and when we’re not too hungover we’ve been bailed out we’re not too exhausted from last night’s (CENSORED) the caffeine kicks in. Join us every weekday morning at 9am (ET) and weekend morning at 10:00am (ET) (or whenever we get around to it) to talk about current news and our boring lives and to make fun of LaEscapee! If we are ever running late, it’s PhilJD’s fault.

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This Day in History

Abraham Lincoln wins four-way race for President as American Civil War nears; March music ‘king’ John Phillip Sousa born; Composer Peter Ilyich Tchaikovsky dies; Director Mike Nichols born.

Breakfast Tunes

Something to Think about over Coffee Prozac

Journalism is what we need to make democracy work.

Walter Cronkite

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Vote!

I encourage you to do it, I don’t tell you who.

Here in Stars Hollow it’s always hard. I hate to say it but Taylor Doose is a Democrat, Miss Patty Republican for reasons I won’t explain but involve several South American countries I’ve recently been re-admitted to. Stars Hollow itself has been Democratic since they were also Republicans and Tom Jeff President which sort of pissed off the Federalists in Hartford BUT WHO’S LAUGHING NOW you partyless bastards.

Anyway no excuse not to. Lines are short (off year local) and I had fun with the Democratic screener by offering her my Driver’s License, Passport, and Library Card for I.D.

What? You don’t have a Library Card? Aroint ye a la Biblioteca pronto.

Pondering the Pundits

Pondering the Pundits” is an Open Thread. It is a selection of editorials and opinions from> around the news medium and the internet blogs. The intent is to provide a forum for your reactions and opinions, not just to the opinions presented, but to what ever you find important.

Thanks to ek hornbeck, click on the link and you can access all the past “Pondering the Pundits”.

Follow us on Twitter @StarsHollowGzt

Paul Krugman: Attack of the Wall Street Snowflakes

Why can’t financial tycoons handle criticism?

Given all the recent focus on health policy, you might think that the medical-industrial complex would be heavily involved in the Democratic primary race, going all-out to block Elizabeth Warren. And a coalition of drug companies, insurers and hospitals is indeed running ads attacking “Medicare for all.”

But the health industry’s political role has been relatively muted so far. Partly this may reflect realism: Even if Warren becomes president, the chances of getting Medicare for all through Congress are small. It may also reflect the surprising openness of doctors to reform. While the American Medical Association still officially opposes single-payer, at a recent meeting, 47 percent of the delegates voted to drop that opposition.

No, the really intense backlash against Warren and progressive Democrats in general is coming from Wall Street. And while that opposition partly reflects self-interest, Wall Street’s Warren hatred has a level of virulence, sometimes crossing into hysteria, that goes beyond normal political calculation.

What’s behind that virulence?

Michelle Goldberg: On Ukraine, Trump Is a Con Man, but He’s Also a Mark

Corrupt forces find it easy to manipulate this president.

The heart of the Ukraine scandal, for which Trump will almost certainly be impeached, is simple. Trump used congressionally appropriated aid to Ukraine, as well as the promise of a White House visit, to try to extort Ukraine’s president to announce investigations that would benefit Trump politically.

But there’s a broader story that’s still murky, because in this scandal Trump is both the perpetrator and the mark. Trump used the power of his office to try to force Ukraine to substantiate conspiracy theories. But the president was fed those conspiracy theories by people with their own agendas, who surely understood that he is insecure about Russia’s role in his election, and he will believe whatever serves his ego in the moment. The main reason Trump should be removed from office is that he has subverted American foreign policy for corrupt personal ends. But this scandal is the latest reminder of how easy sinister forces find it to pull his strings.

Eugene Robinson: Biden’s staying power has everything to do with beating Trump

How can we miss Joe Biden if he won’t go away?

It’s beginning to look as if Democrats don’t want him to go away at all. The betting odds, along with many of my fellow pundits, assess Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) to be the likely nominee. So why, then, does Biden continue to hold a substantial lead in the national polls? And why, at the moment, is that lead growing?

The clear and simple answer has little to do with the Democratic Party’s progressive-vs.-moderate divide, which is more a theoretical chasm than a practical one. Biden’s staying power has everything to do with President Trump — and the imperative that the incumbent be defeated next November.

It now appears overwhelmingly likely that Trump will be impeached by the House and face trial in the Senate. The chance that 20 Republican senators will join with Democrats in voting to remove him from office is not zero — especially if public airing of the evidence against the president weakens his support among the GOP base — but remains, at this point, somewhere between small and minuscule.

We have no way of knowing how an incumbent president marked with the stigma of impeachment would fare in a bid for reelection, because such a thing has never happened before. But we’re likely to find out.

Dan Froomkin: Press Watch: CNN has a tough choice to make: Fake political drama or real political news?

The once-dependable news network has fallen into the Trump chasm with its array of gaslighters and shameless liars

There is no shortage of genuine drama heading into the 2020 election, but CNN continues to prefer cheap thrills over digging into what’s at stake with serious reporting, insight and expertise.

On Sunday, CNN brought chief White House befuddler Kellyanne Conway onto “State of the Union” so Dana Bash could waste what felt like hours failing to get Conway to acknowledge a few simple facts that are already fully established by gobs of incontrovertible evidence. (“Can you say definitively no quid pro quo for this military aid?”)

And last week, CNN appropriately caught vast amounts of flak for having put Trump apologist/gaslighter/dimwit Sean Duffy on its payroll to infuriate the network’s own anchors by spouting conspiracy theories and lashing out in a profoundly prejudiced way at a decorated veteran who came forward to speak the truth.

CNN president Jeff Zucker has said it’s important to help viewers understand what President Trump and his supporters are thinking — and he’s absolutely right. But there is nothing edifying about appearances by people like Conway or Duffy. They lie, they fabricate and they can’t genuinely explain what Donald Trump is thinking — because no one can.

Amanda Marcotte: Trump’s new impeachment strategy is familiar: Don’t believe your lying eyes

Trump keeps saying “read the transcript.” But that’s obviously the last thing he wants his supporters to do

No doubt, there were plenty of crappy white guys ready to cheer the orange hobgoblin whose racism and sexism helps distract them from their haunting and absolutely correct fears of their own inadequacies. But even at the UFC match, in the belly of the toxic-masculinity beast, Trump found that people hate him and was met with even more boos.

But this time, instead of just admitting that he can’t stick his head out public without being booed, Trump turned to his trusted friend, gaslighting, to deny the loud, undeniable booing recorded at Madison Square Garden. Trump took to Twitter and claimed it was “like walking into a Trump Rally.” Both Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, who were there and certainly heard the loud booing, insisted the claims about heckling were “fake,” even though, again, the video evidence proliferated online for anyone willing to watch it. Soon, a tedious debate on social media broke out, with Trump supporters trying to muddy the waters and deny what was clearly audible on the videos from Saturday.

It was a rehash of the Trump inauguration, when the White House, through then-press secretary Sean Spicer, vehemently insisted that Trump had drawn “the largest audience ever to witness an inauguration,” a claim that anyone with functioning eyeballs could see was a flat-out lie. And yet Trump’s base played along, choosing to agree with the blatant lie instead of the evidence of their own senses.

These sorts of events, where Trump tells narcissistic lies about his own popularity and his followers pretend to believe him, might seem like silly diversions. But it turns out they serve a purpose. Trump is now pulling the same stunt with his impeachment defense, calling on his supporters to refuse to accept the evidence that’s front of their own eyes, and believe his transparent lies instead.

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